Arms Deal Collection: skins, trade up odds & float ranges
The Arms Deal Collection has 9 skins across 4 rarities and drops from the CS:GO Weapon Case. Its rarest skins are AWP | Lightning Strike. Below: every skin with its float range, all trade up paths with exact odds, and the best contracts at today’s prices.
- Skins: 3 Mil-Spec, 3 Restricted, 2 Classified, 1 Covert.
- Trade up paths: Mil-Spec → Restricted, Restricted → Classified, Classified → Covert.
- Knife trade up: 5 Covert skins from this collection roll one of 65 items (knives) from the CS:GO Weapon Case.
Best Arms Deal Collection trade ups right now
Every contract of 10 identical inputs from this collection (5 for Covert → knife), priced with today’s market data.
Covert skins (1)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | AWP | Lightning Strike | 0.00 – 0.08 | FN MW | … |
Classified skins (2)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | AK-47 | Case Hardened | 0.00 – 1.00 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | Desert Eagle | Hypnotic | 0.00 – 0.08 | FN MW | … |
Restricted skins (3)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo | 0.00 – 0.08 | FN MW | … |
 | M4A1-S | Dark Water | 0.10 – 0.26 | MW FT | … |
 | USP-S | Dark Water | 0.10 – 0.26 | MW FT | … |
Mil-Spec skins (3)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | AUG | Wings | 0.00 – 0.14 | FN MW | … |
 | MP7 | Skulls | 0.10 – 0.26 | MW FT | … |
 | SG 553 | Ultraviolet | 0.06 – 0.80 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
Arms Deal Collection trade up odds
With all 10 inputs from this collection, each next-rarity skin has an equal chance. The “max average float” columns show the highest average normalised input float that still gives that wear.
10 Mil-Spec → Restricted
| Outcome | Chance | Max avg for FN | Max avg for MW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo | 33.3% | ≤ 0.8750 | always |
| M4A1-S | Dark Water | 33.3% | impossible | ≤ 0.3125 |
| USP-S | Dark Water | 33.3% | impossible | ≤ 0.3125 |
10 Restricted → Classified
| Outcome | Chance | Max avg for FN | Max avg for MW |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Case Hardened | 50% | ≤ 0.0700 | ≤ 0.1500 |
| Desert Eagle | Hypnotic | 50% | ≤ 0.8750 | always |
10 Classified → Covert
| Outcome | Chance | Max avg for FN | Max avg for MW |
|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Lightning Strike | 100% | ≤ 0.8750 | always |
Arms Deal Collection knife & glove pool
5 Covert skins from this collection give one of these 65 items, each with a 1.54% chance (StatTrak™ inputs: knives only). Knife types: Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit, M9 Bayonet. See the full CS:GO Weapon Case knife pool with prices or open the knife trade up calculator.
Arms Deal Collection FAQ
What skins are in the Arms Deal Collection?
The Arms Deal Collection contains 9 skins: Covert – AWP | Lightning Strike; Classified – AK-47 | Case Hardened, Desert Eagle | Hypnotic; Restricted – Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo, M4A1-S | Dark Water, USP-S | Dark Water; Mil-Spec – AUG | Wings, MP7 | Skulls, SG 553 | Ultraviolet.
What are the trade up odds in the Arms Deal Collection?
With 10 inputs from the Arms Deal Collection, every skin of the next rarity has an equal chance: Mil-Spec → Restricted 33.3% each; Restricted → Classified 50% each; Classified → Covert 100% each. Mixing in other collections lowers these odds in proportion to the inputs you replace.
Can you trade up Arms Deal Collection Covert skins into a knife?
Yes. Since October 23, 2025, 5 Covert skins from the Arms Deal Collection can be traded up into one of 65 knives or gloves from the CS:GO Weapon Case. StatTrak™ inputs return a StatTrak™ knife.
How do I find a profitable Arms Deal Collection trade up?
Use the live table above: it prices every contract of this collection with today’s market data and ranks them by ROI. Open any of them in the CS2TradeUp.gg calculator to change floats, mix collections, and set your marketplace fee.
