AK-47 | Case Hardened: trade up odds, float & price

Classified Rifles skin from the Arms Deal Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Restricted skins of the Arms Deal Collection with a 50% chance per contract.

AK-47 | Case Hardened price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™	Souvenir
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$389.89	$1,093	$848.08
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$319.72	$898.10	$554.72
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$227.69	$514.13	$1,340
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$199.44	$610.61	—
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 1.000	$188.17	$408.27	—

Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest AK-47 | Case Hardened is Battle-Scarred at $159.62 on Tradeit.gg. Factory New costs $359.62, 2.3× as much. StatTrak™ costs 2.1–2.6× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $227.69, 25% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

Blue gem patterns: the value of a AK-47 | Case Hardened depends on its paint seed. See the AK-47 | Case Hardened blue gem tier list and record sales →

How to trade up into the AK-47 | Case Hardened

Put 10 Restricted skins from the Arms Deal Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 2 Classified skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Case Hardened has a 50% chance (the other outcome is Desert Eagle | Hypnotic). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Restricted): Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo, M4A1-S | Dark Water, USP-S | Dark Water.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.

Cheapest AK-47 | Case Hardened trade ups right now

10 identical Restricted inputs from the Arms Deal Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 50% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× USP-S \| Dark Water StatTrak™ FT Restricted → Classified	$1,182	$361.12	-69.4%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× USP-S \| Dark Water MW Restricted → Classified	$937.80	$253.31	-73.0%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× USP-S \| Dark Water FT Restricted → Classified	$782.00	$209.54	-73.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× USP-S \| Dark Water StatTrak™ MW Restricted → Classified	$1,604	$398.04	-75.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo FN Restricted → Classified	$1,021	$219.52	-78.5%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo StatTrak™ FN Restricted → Classified	$2,690	$361.12	-86.6%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the AK-47 | Case Hardened
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)