AWP | Lightning Strike: trade up odds, float & price
Covert Rifles skin from the Arms Deal Collection (CS:GO Weapon Case). Float range 0.00 – 0.08, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Classified skins of the Arms Deal Collection with a 100% chance per contract.
AWP | Lightning Strike price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ | Souvenir |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | $590.74 | $871.48 | $1,399 |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.080 | $600.01 | — | — |
Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest AWP | Lightning Strike is Factory New at $418.30 on Waxpeer. Minimal Wear costs $475.14, 1.1× as much. StatTrak™ costs about 1.9× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Factory New sells for $590.74, 41% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the AWP | Lightning Strike
Put 10 Classified skins from the Arms Deal Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 1 Covert skin, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Lightning Strike has a 100% chance – it is the only Covert skin in the collection, so the result is guaranteed. Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Classified): AK-47 | Case Hardened, Desert Eagle | Hypnotic.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.8750.
- Minimal Wear result: always.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.08 – see the float guide.
Cheapest AWP | Lightning Strike trade ups right now
10 identical Classified inputs from the Arms Deal Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 100% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× Desert Eagle | Hypnotic StatTrak™ FN Classified → Covert | $2,223 | $1,048 | -52.8% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Desert Eagle | Hypnotic FN Classified → Covert | $2,046 | $639.80 | -68.7% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AK-47 | Case Hardened BS Classified → Covert | $2,145 | $639.80 | -70.2% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Desert Eagle | Hypnotic MW Classified → Covert | $2,108 | $620.40 | -70.6% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AK-47 | Case Hardened WW Classified → Covert | $2,345 | $639.80 | -72.7% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AK-47 | Case Hardened FT Classified → Covert | $3,020 | $639.80 | -78.8% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AK-47 | Case Hardened StatTrak™ WW Classified → Covert | $5,000 | $1,048 | -79.0% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AK-47 | Case Hardened StatTrak™ BS Classified → Covert | $5,000 | $1,048 | -79.0% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the AWP | Lightning Strike trades up into
As a Covert skin from a weapon case, 5 Lightning Strikes (or any 5 Covert skins from the Arms Deal Collection) trade up into one of the 65 knives and gloves of the CS:GO Weapon Case, each with a 1.54% chance. See the full CS:GO Weapon Case knife pool or open the knife trade up calculator.
AWP | Lightning Strike FAQ
Can you trade up the AWP | Lightning Strike into a knife?
Yes. 5 Covert skins from the Arms Deal Collection return one of the 65 knives or gloves of the CS:GO Weapon Case (1.54% each). StatTrak™ inputs return a StatTrak™ knife.
More Arms Deal Collection skins
