Vanguard Collection: skins, trade up odds & float ranges
The Vanguard Collection has 14 skins across 4 rarities and drops from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. Its rarest skins are AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel and P2000 | Fire Elemental. Below: every skin with its float range, all trade up paths with exact odds, and the best contracts at today’s prices.
- Skins: 5 Mil-Spec, 4 Restricted, 3 Classified, 2 Covert.
- Trade up paths: Mil-Spec → Restricted, Restricted → Classified, Classified → Covert.
- Knife trade up: 5 Covert skins from this collection roll one of 65 items (knives) from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case.
Best Vanguard Collection trade ups right now
Every contract of 10 identical inputs from this collection (5 for Covert → knife), priced with today’s market data.
Covert skins (2)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel | 0.05 – 0.70 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | P2000 | Fire Elemental | 0.00 – 0.60 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
Classified skins (3)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | P250 | Cartel | 0.00 – 0.75 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | SCAR-20 | Cardiac | 0.00 – 1.00 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | XM1014 | Tranquility | 0.00 – 0.50 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
Restricted skins (4)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Glock-18 | Grinder | 0.02 – 0.25 | FN MW FT | … |
 | M4A4 | Griffin | 0.00 – 0.80 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | M4A1-S | Basilisk | 0.00 – 0.68 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | Sawed-Off | Highwayman | 0.00 – 1.00 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
Mil-Spec skins (5)
| Skin | Float range | Wears | Lowest price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard | 0.00 – 0.25 | FN MW FT | … |
 | G3SG1 | Murky | 0.00 – 0.25 | FN MW FT | … |
 | MAG-7 | Firestarter | 0.06 – 0.49 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | MP9 | Dart | 0.00 – 0.46 | FN MW FT WW BS | … |
 | UMP-45 | Delusion | 0.06 – 0.35 | FN MW FT | … |
Vanguard Collection trade up odds
With all 10 inputs from this collection, each next-rarity skin has an equal chance. The “max average float” columns show the highest average normalised input float that still gives that wear.
10 Mil-Spec → Restricted
| Outcome | Chance | Max avg for FN | Max avg for MW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Grinder | 25% | ≤ 0.2174 | ≤ 0.5652 |
| M4A4 | Griffin | 25% | ≤ 0.0875 | ≤ 0.1875 |
| M4A1-S | Basilisk | 25% | ≤ 0.1029 | ≤ 0.2206 |
| Sawed-Off | Highwayman | 25% | ≤ 0.0700 | ≤ 0.1500 |
10 Restricted → Classified
| Outcome | Chance | Max avg for FN | Max avg for MW |
|---|---|---|---|
| P250 | Cartel | 33.3% | ≤ 0.0933 | ≤ 0.2000 |
| SCAR-20 | Cardiac | 33.3% | ≤ 0.0700 | ≤ 0.1500 |
| XM1014 | Tranquility | 33.3% | ≤ 0.1400 | ≤ 0.3000 |
10 Classified → Covert
| Outcome | Chance | Max avg for FN | Max avg for MW |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel | 50% | ≤ 0.0308 | ≤ 0.1538 |
| P2000 | Fire Elemental | 50% | ≤ 0.1167 | ≤ 0.2500 |
Vanguard Collection knife & glove pool
5 Covert skins from this collection give one of these 65 items, each with a 1.54% chance (StatTrak™ inputs: knives only). Knife types: Bayonet, Flip Knife, Gut Knife, Karambit, M9 Bayonet. See the full Operation Vanguard Weapon Case knife pool with prices or open the knife trade up calculator.
Vanguard Collection FAQ
What skins are in the Vanguard Collection?
The Vanguard Collection contains 14 skins: Covert – AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel, P2000 | Fire Elemental; Classified – P250 | Cartel, SCAR-20 | Cardiac, XM1014 | Tranquility; Restricted – Glock-18 | Grinder, M4A4 | Griffin, M4A1-S | Basilisk, Sawed-Off | Highwayman; Mil-Spec – Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard, G3SG1 | Murky, MAG-7 | Firestarter, MP9 | Dart, UMP-45 | Delusion.
What are the trade up odds in the Vanguard Collection?
With 10 inputs from the Vanguard Collection, every skin of the next rarity has an equal chance: Mil-Spec → Restricted 25% each; Restricted → Classified 33.3% each; Classified → Covert 50% each. Mixing in other collections lowers these odds in proportion to the inputs you replace.
Can you trade up Vanguard Collection Covert skins into a knife?
Yes. Since October 23, 2025, 5 Covert skins from the Vanguard Collection can be traded up into one of 65 knives or gloves from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. StatTrak™ inputs return a StatTrak™ knife.
How do I find a profitable Vanguard Collection trade up?
Use the live table above: it prices every contract of this collection with today’s market data and ranks them by ROI. Open any of them in the CS2TradeUp.gg calculator to change floats, mix collections, and set your marketplace fee.
