
M4A4 | Griffin: trade up odds, float & price
Restricted Rifles skin from the Vanguard Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.80, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Vanguard Collection with a 25% chance per contract.
M4A4 | Griffin price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | $70.00 | $29.40 |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.150 | $6.02 | $11.57 |
| Field-Tested (FT) | 0.150 – 0.380 | $3.27 | $7.79 |
| Well-Worn (WW) | 0.380 – 0.450 | $4.73 | $11.13 |
| Battle-Scarred (BS) | 0.450 – 0.800 | $3.34 | $7.75 |
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A4 | Griffin is Field-Tested at $2.56 on CS.MONEY. Factory New costs $60.15, 23× as much. StatTrak™ costs from 0.4× to 2.6× the normal price, depending on the wear. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $3.27, 28% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the M4A4 | Griffin
Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Vanguard Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 4 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Griffin has a 25% chance (the other outcomes are Glock-18 | Grinder, M4A1-S | Basilisk, Sawed-Off | Highwayman). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Mil-Spec): Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard, G3SG1 | Murky, MAG-7 | Firestarter, MP9 | Dart, UMP-45 | Delusion.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0875.
- Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1875.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.80 – see the float guide.
Cheapest M4A4 | Griffin trade ups right now
10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Vanguard Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 25% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× MAG-7 | Firestarter StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $11.60 | $12.39 | +6.8% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MP9 | Dart StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $12.20 | $12.99 | +6.5% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× G3SG1 | Murky StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $22.00 | $16.49 | -25.1% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MAG-7 | Firestarter StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $16.60 | $12.39 | -25.4% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MP9 | Dart StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $17.00 | $11.98 | -29.5% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MAG-7 | Firestarter FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $7.70 | $4.87 | -36.8% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× G3SG1 | Murky MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $8.80 | $4.42 | -49.8% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MAG-7 | Firestarter WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $9.30 | $4.46 | -52.0% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the M4A4 | Griffin trades up into
10 Restricted skins from the Vanguard Collection give one of 3 Classified skins, each with a 33.3% chance: