Calculator › Case simulator › Recoil Case

Recoil Case opening simulator

Unbox the Recoil Case as many times as you like, free. At today's Steam prices one opening is worth $1.30 on average against $2.86 for the case plus key (−55%). The rare pool has 24 knives and gloves; the best regular drop is USP-S | Printstream. Got a Covert? Five of them can go into a knife trade up.

+ $2.49 key · real CS2 odds

Cost per open (case + $2.49 key)$2.86
Expected value$1.30
Back per $1$0.45
Knife or gloves1 in 385
Profit chance, 1 case4.3%

Knife / Gloves · 0.26% · 24 items

Average value across wears, best first: ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts ($829.94), ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot ($571.32), ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard ($445.12), ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh ($291.81), ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade ($266.84), ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike ($251.57), ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie ($219.53), ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent ($207.91), ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game ($187.96), ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! ($174.78), ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure ($173.70), ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander ($157.60), ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out ($156.65), ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line ($125.32), ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade ($108.20), ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red ($98.20), ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar ($80.23), ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor ($73.00), ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged ($72.42), ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded ($68.20), ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point ($63.88), ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company ($61.86), ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe ($61.67), ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh ($55.31).

Covert · 0.64% · 2 items

USP-S | Printstream
USP-S | Printstream0.320% · avg value $58.61
AWP | Chromatic Aberration
AWP | Chromatic Aberration0.320% · avg value $39.84

Classified · 3.20% · 3 items

AK-47 | Ice Coaled
AK-47 | Ice Coaled1.067% · avg value $7.19
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love1.067% · avg value $5.35
P250 | Visions
P250 | Visions1.067% · avg value $4.91

Restricted · 15.98% · 5 items

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora
Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora3.196% · avg value $0.84
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
R8 Revolver | Crazy 83.196% · avg value $0.79
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
SG 553 | Dragon Tech3.196% · avg value $0.66
P90 | Vent Rush
P90 | Vent Rush3.196% · avg value $0.63
M249 | Downtown
M249 | Downtown3.196% · avg value $0.60

Mil-Spec · 79.92% · 7 items

M4A4 | Poly Mag
M4A4 | Poly Mag11.417% · avg value $0.28
Galil AR | Destroyer
Galil AR | Destroyer11.417% · avg value $0.25
FAMAS | Meow 36
FAMAS | Meow 3611.417% · avg value $0.21
Glock-18 | Winterized
Glock-18 | Winterized11.417% · avg value $0.20
Negev | Drop Me
Negev | Drop Me11.417% · avg value $0.17
UMP-45 | Roadblock
UMP-45 | Roadblock11.417% · avg value $0.16
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage
MAC-10 | Monkeyflage11.417% · avg value $0.16

Recoil Case in CS2: price, odds and best drops

The Recoil Case costs $0.37 on the Steam Community Market. Add the $2.49 key and one opening costs $2.86. At the prices of 2026-10-03 an average opening is worth $1.30, which is $0.45 back for every $1 spent, and about 4.3% of openings are worth more than the case plus key. It ranks #30 of 43 cases by value back.

Odds are the published CS2 case odds: 79.92% Mil-Spec (7 skins), 15.98% Restricted (5), 3.20% Classified (3), 0.64% Covert (2) and 0.26% knife or gloves (1 in 385). The most valuable regular drops are USP-S | Printstream ($58.45), AWP | Chromatic Aberration ($40.17), AK-47 | Ice Coaled ($7.43).

The rare pool has 24 knives and gloves. Averaged across all wears and weighted by the wear odds, the highest value is ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts at $836.28, the lowest is ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh at $55.13. Every knife and glove with prices and floats is on the Recoil Case knives page. Compare it with the rest on best CS2 cases to open or all CS2 cases (the drop odds of every case are on CS2 case odds); five Covert drops of one case can go into a knife trade up.

Recoil Case FAQ

How much does the Recoil Case cost in CS2?

About $0.37 on the Steam Community Market on 2026-10-03, plus the $2.49 key, so $2.86 for one opening.

Is the Recoil Case worth opening?

On average an opening returns $0.45 for every $1 spent (expected value $1.30 against a cost of $2.86), rank #30 of 43 cases. About 4.3% of single openings are worth more than they cost. Use the simulator above to see how a run of openings plays out.

What is the best skin in the Recoil Case?

The most valuable regular drops are USP-S | Printstream ($58.45), AWP | Chromatic Aberration ($40.17), AK-47 | Ice Coaled ($7.43). The most valuable knife or gloves is ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts at $836.28 on average across wears.

What are the odds of a knife from the Recoil Case?

Knives and gloves are 0.26%, or 1 in 385 openings. With 24 items in the rare pool each one is about 0.011% per opening.

How many skins are in the Recoil Case?

17 regular skins (7 Mil-Spec, 5 Restricted, 3 Classified, 2 Covert) plus 24 knives and gloves.

Can I open the Recoil Case for free?

Yes. The simulator above opens it with real odds and live Steam prices, no deposit and no real items.

How the simulator works

Other cases