CS:GO Weapon Case 3 opening simulator
Unbox the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 as many times as you like, free. At today's Steam prices one opening is worth $12.24 on average against $21.04 for the case plus key (−42%). The rare pool has 65 knives and gloves; the best regular drop is CZ75-Auto | Victoria. Got a Covert? Five of them can go into a knife trade up.
Knife / Gloves · 0.26% · 65 items
Average value across wears, best first: ★ Karambit | Fade ($1,708.63), ★ Karambit ($1,415.82), ★ Karambit | Slaughter ($1,283.46), ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade ($1,141.07), ★ Karambit | Case Hardened ($1,106.66), ★ Karambit | Blue Steel ($1,070.82), ★ M9 Bayonet ($980.00), ★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter ($941.68), ★ Karambit | Crimson Web ($864.38), ★ Karambit | Night ($798.68), ★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel ($718.55), ★ Karambit | Stained ($706.54), ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened ($681.83), ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web ($666.02), ★ Karambit | Scorched ($591.17), ★ Karambit | Urban Masked ($586.02), ★ Karambit | Boreal Forest ($545.88), ★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT ($540.04), ★ M9 Bayonet | Stained ($522.75), ★ Karambit | Safari Mesh ($504.70), ★ M9 Bayonet | Night ($496.82), ★ Bayonet | Fade ($463.48), ★ Bayonet | Slaughter ($415.66), ★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh ($394.78), ★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked ($391.32), ★ Flip Knife | Fade ($389.48), ★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT ($383.58), ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched ($370.98), ★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest ($359.92), ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened ($347.57), ★ Flip Knife | Slaughter ($338.27), ★ Bayonet ($321.51), ★ Bayonet | Crimson Web ($299.88), ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel ($290.73), ★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web ($279.83), ★ Flip Knife ($227.54), ★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened ($220.73), ★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel ($214.02), ★ Bayonet | Stained ($198.24), ★ Bayonet | Night ($191.99), ★ Bayonet | Urban Masked ($174.45), ★ Flip Knife | Night ($165.71), ★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT ($165.07), ★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest ($161.03), ★ Flip Knife | Stained ($154.39), ★ Bayonet | Scorched ($154.15), ★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked ($153.13), ★ Gut Knife | Fade ($152.42), ★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh ($151.73), ★ Flip Knife | Scorched ($148.49), ★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest ($142.03), ★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT ($140.32), ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened ($139.96), ★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh ($135.07), ★ Gut Knife | Slaughter ($130.99), ★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web ($94.54), ★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel ($88.00), ★ Gut Knife ($74.70), ★ Gut Knife | Stained ($72.27), ★ Gut Knife | Night ($65.35), ★ Gut Knife | Scorched ($61.56), ★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked ($59.39), ★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT ($59.02), ★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest ($55.76), ★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh ($53.28).
Covert · 0.64% · 1 item
Classified · 3.20% · 2 items
Restricted · 15.98% · 4 items
Mil-Spec · 79.92% · 5 items
CS:GO Weapon Case 3 in CS2: price, odds and best drops
The CS:GO Weapon Case 3 costs $18.55 on the Steam Community Market. Add the $2.49 key and one opening costs $21.04. At the prices of 2026-10-03 an average opening is worth $12.24, which is $0.58 back for every $1 spent, and about 12% of openings are worth more than the case plus key. It ranks #3 of 43 cases by value back.
Odds are the published CS2 case odds: 79.92% Mil-Spec (5 skins), 15.98% Restricted (4), 3.20% Classified (2), 0.64% Covert (1) and 0.26% knife or gloves (1 in 385). The most valuable regular drops are CZ75-Auto | Victoria ($101.82), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit ($59.06), P250 | Undertow ($40.96).
The rare pool has 65 knives and gloves. Averaged across all wears and weighted by the wear odds, the highest value is ★ Karambit | Fade at $1,708.63, the lowest is ★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh at $52.37. Every knife and glove with prices and floats is on the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 knives page. Compare it with the rest on best CS2 cases to open or all CS2 cases (the drop odds of every case are on CS2 case odds); five Covert drops of one case can go into a knife trade up.
CS:GO Weapon Case 3 FAQ
How much does the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 cost in CS2?
About $18.55 on the Steam Community Market on 2026-10-03, plus the $2.49 key, so $21.04 for one opening.
Is the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 worth opening?
On average an opening returns $0.58 for every $1 spent (expected value $12.24 against a cost of $21.04), rank #3 of 43 cases. About 12% of single openings are worth more than they cost. Use the simulator above to see how a run of openings plays out.
What is the best skin in the CS:GO Weapon Case 3?
The most valuable regular drops are CZ75-Auto | Victoria ($101.82), Tec-9 | Titanium Bit ($59.06), P250 | Undertow ($40.96). The most valuable knife or gloves is ★ Karambit | Fade at $1,708.63 on average across wears.
What are the odds of a knife from the CS:GO Weapon Case 3?
Knives and gloves are 0.26%, or 1 in 385 openings. With 65 items in the rare pool each one is about 0.004% per opening.
How many skins are in the CS:GO Weapon Case 3?
12 regular skins (5 Mil-Spec, 4 Restricted, 2 Classified, 1 Covert) plus 65 knives and gloves.
Can I open the CS:GO Weapon Case 3 for free?
Yes. The simulator above opens it with real odds and live Steam prices, no deposit and no real items.
How the simulator works
- Real odds: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64%, knife or gloves 0.26% (the published CS2 case odds). StatTrak™ 10%.
- Wear: Factory New 3%, Minimal Wear 24%, Field-Tested 33%, Well-Worn 24%, Battle-Scarred 16%, then a random float inside the skin's own range.
- Prices: Steam Community Market, refreshed every hour, before the 13% Steam fee; knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price. Change the case price to match today's market.
- Expected value is the average value of one opening at today's prices. Every case is below the $2.49 key + case cost on average; the simulator shows you how far below.
- Nothing is bought or opened for real. It is a free calculator, not a case site.