Nova | Toy Soldier: trade up odds, float & price
Restricted Heavy skin from the Horizon Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Horizon Collection with a 20% chance per contract.
Nova | Toy Soldier price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | $11.50 | $14.72 |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.150 | $5.47 | $4.29 |
| Field-Tested (FT) | 0.150 – 0.380 | $1.05 | $1.65 |
| Well-Worn (WW) | 0.380 – 0.450 | $0.78 | $1.42 |
| Battle-Scarred (BS) | 0.450 – 1.000 | $0.81 | $1.42 |
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest Nova | Toy Soldier is Well-Worn at $0.56 on Waxpeer. Factory New costs $8.38, 15× as much. StatTrak™ costs from 0.8× to 2.1× the normal price, depending on the wear. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $1.05, 46% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the Nova | Toy Soldier
Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Horizon Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 5 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Toy Soldier has a 20% chance (the other outcomes are AWP | PAW, CZ75-Auto | Eco, G3SG1 | High Seas, MP7 | Powercore). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Mil-Spec): AUG | Amber Slipstream, Dual Berettas | Shred, Glock-18 | Warhawk, MP9 | Capillary, P90 | Traction, R8 Revolver | Survivalist, Tec-9 | Snek-9.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
- Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.
Cheapest Nova | Toy Soldier trade ups right now
10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Horizon Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 20% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× AUG | Amber Slipstream StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $12.30 | $14.30 | +16.3% | 100.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Dual Berettas | Shred FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $10.40 | $10.08 | -3.1% | 40.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AUG | Amber Slipstream StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $4.10 | $3.30 | -19.5% | 40.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× AUG | Amber Slipstream StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $6.40 | $4.48 | -29.9% | 40.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Tec-9 | Snek-9 StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $3.70 | $2.51 | -32.2% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Tec-9 | Snek-9 StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $4.10 | $2.50 | -39.1% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× R8 Revolver | Survivalist BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $3.70 | $1.34 | -63.9% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Dual Berettas | Shred MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $5.50 | $1.79 | -67.5% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the Nova | Toy Soldier trades up into
10 Restricted skins from the Horizon Collection give one of 3 Classified skins, each with a 33.3% chance:
More Horizon Collection skins
