M4A1-S | Nightmare: trade up odds, float & price
Classified Rifles skin from the Horizon Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Restricted skins of the Horizon Collection with a 33.3% chance per contract.
M4A1-S | Nightmare price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | … | … |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.150 | … | … |
| Field-Tested (FT) | 0.150 – 0.380 | … | … |
| Well-Worn (WW) | 0.380 – 0.450 | … | … |
| Battle-Scarred (BS) | 0.450 – 1.000 | … | … |
How to trade up into the M4A1-S | Nightmare
Put 10 Restricted skins from the Horizon Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 3 Classified skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Nightmare has a 33.3% chance (the other outcomes are FAMAS | Eye of Athena, Sawed-Off | Devourer). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Restricted): AWP | PAW, CZ75-Auto | Eco, G3SG1 | High Seas, MP7 | Powercore, Nova | Toy Soldier.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
- Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.
Cheapest M4A1-S | Nightmare trade ups right now
10 identical Restricted inputs from the Horizon Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 33.3% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the M4A1-S | Nightmare trades up into
10 Classified skins from the Horizon Collection give one of 2 Covert skins, each with a 50% chance:
M4A1-S | Nightmare FAQ
What collection is the M4A1-S | Nightmare from?
The M4A1-S | Nightmare is a Classified skin from the Horizon Collection. Its float range is 0.00 – 1.00, so it exists in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred.
What are the odds of getting the M4A1-S | Nightmare from a trade up?
With all 10 inputs from the Horizon Collection the chance is 1 ÷ 3 = 33.3%. Each input from another collection removes 10% of that chance and adds outcomes from the other collection.
What float do I need for a Factory New M4A1-S | Nightmare?
The average normalised input float must be at most 0.0700. Output float = 0.00 + average × 1.00.
What does the M4A1-S | Nightmare trade up into?
10 Classified skins from the Horizon Collection give a random Covert skin from the collection: AK-47 | Neon Rider, Desert Eagle | Code Red (50% each).
More Horizon Collection skins
All Horizon Collection skins and odds → · All M4A1-S skins →