M4A4 | Daybreak: trade up odds, float & price

Restricted Rifles skin from the Rising Sun Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.60, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Rising Sun Collection with a 25% chance per contract.

M4A4 | Daybreak price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$877.53	—
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$524.48	—
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$470.72	—
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$820.00	—
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 0.600	$369.79	—

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A4 | Daybreak is Minimal Wear at $369.54 on CS.MONEY. Well-Worn costs $820.00, 2.2× as much. On the Steam Market the Factory New sells for $877.53, 61% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the M4A4 | Daybreak

Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Rising Sun Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 4 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Daybreak has a 25% chance (the other outcomes are Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱, Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐, Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Mil-Spec): Galil AR | Aqua Terrace, MAG-7 | Counter Terrace, Tec-9 | Terrace.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1167.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.2500.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.60 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A4 | Daybreak trade ups right now

10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Rising Sun Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 25% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× Tec-9 \| Terrace MW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$920.40	$857.13	-6.9%	50.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace FT Mil-Spec → Restricted	$830.80	$546.89	-34.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Tec-9 \| Terrace FN Mil-Spec → Restricted	$1,150	$749.09	-34.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Tec-9 \| Terrace WW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$920.00	$546.89	-40.6%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace BS Mil-Spec → Restricted	$970.80	$485.95	-49.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A4 | Daybreak
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)