M4A1-S | Liquidation: trade up odds, float & price

Restricted Rifles skin from the Genesis Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Genesis Collection with a 20% chance per contract.

M4A1-S | Liquidation price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™	Souvenir
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$11.45	$29.99	—
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$4.91	$14.15	$64.80
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$2.48	$7.05	—
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$1.70	$4.60	$33.16
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 1.000	$1.10	$3.57	—

Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A1-S | Liquidation is Battle-Scarred at $0.82 on Waxpeer. Factory New costs $8.72, 11× as much. StatTrak™ costs 2.9–3.5× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $2.48, 39% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the M4A1-S | Liquidation

Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Genesis Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 5 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Liquidation has a 20% chance (the other outcomes are Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes, MAC-10 | Cat Fight, Nova | Ocular, UMP-45 | Continuum). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Mil-Spec): AUG | Trigger Discipline, P2000 | Red Wing, MAG-7 | MAGnitude, MP5-SD | Focus, MP9 | Broken Record, P250 | Bullfrog, SCAR-20 | Caged.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A1-S | Liquidation trade ups right now

10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Genesis Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 20% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× P2000 \| Red Wing MW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$2.60	$2.53	-2.8%	20.0%	Open in calculator
10× SCAR-20 \| Caged WW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$0.90	$0.82	-9.1%	20.0%	Open in calculator
10× P250 \| Bullfrog FT Mil-Spec → Restricted	$1.30	$1.15	-11.5%	20.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAG-7 \| MAGnitude FN Mil-Spec → Restricted	$8.40	$5.86	-30.2%	20.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAG-7 \| MAGnitude BS Mil-Spec → Restricted	$1.00	$0.64	-36.0%	20.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A1-S | Liquidation
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)