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Fracture Case opening simulator

Unbox the Fracture Case as many times as you like, free. At today's Steam prices one opening is worth $1.17 on average against $3.10 for the case plus key (−62%). The rare pool has 52 knives and gloves; the best regular drop is Desert Eagle | Printstream. Got a Covert? Five of them can go into a knife trade up.

+ $2.49 key · real CS2 odds

Cost per open (case + $2.49 key)$3.10
Expected value$1.17
Back per $1$0.38
Knife or gloves1 in 385
Profit chance, 1 case4.4%

Knife / Gloves · 0.26% · 52 items

Average value across wears, best first: ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade ($636.96), ★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter ($492.92), ★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web ($384.91), ★ Nomad Knife | Fade ($341.74), ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened ($336.48), ★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter ($289.92), ★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel ($287.36), ★ Skeleton Knife ($279.22), ★ Skeleton Knife | Stained ($232.53), ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened ($224.18), ★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web ($210.19), ★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel ($185.78), ★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe ($185.10), ★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked ($179.75), ★ Paracord Knife | Fade ($175.70), ★ Survival Knife | Fade ($170.36), ★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched ($166.24), ★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter ($162.55), ★ Nomad Knife ($158.47), ★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest ($154.42), ★ Nomad Knife | Stained ($153.79), ★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT ($151.51), ★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh ($145.67), ★ Survival Knife | Slaughter ($145.60), ★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked ($131.95), ★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened ($128.04), ★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web ($117.70), ★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe ($117.11), ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened ($115.25), ★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web ($113.11), ★ Nomad Knife | Scorched ($110.50), ★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest ($101.03), ★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT ($98.61), ★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel ($96.33), ★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh ($89.63), ★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel ($87.02), ★ Survival Knife | Stained ($70.08), ★ Paracord Knife | Stained ($69.64), ★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked ($65.79), ★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked ($65.40), ★ Paracord Knife ($64.66), ★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe ($63.62), ★ Survival Knife ($62.02), ★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe ($60.71), ★ Paracord Knife | Scorched ($58.09), ★ Survival Knife | Scorched ($57.91), ★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest ($57.06), ★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT ($52.45), ★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest ($51.50), ★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT ($51.36), ★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh ($49.92), ★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh ($49.85).

Covert · 0.64% · 2 items

Desert Eagle | Printstream
Desert Eagle | Printstream0.320% · avg value $51.89
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis0.320% · avg value $41.42

Classified · 3.20% · 3 items

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy1.067% · avg value $5.70
XM1014 | Entombed
XM1014 | Entombed1.067% · avg value $5.60
Glock-18 | Vogue
Glock-18 | Vogue1.067% · avg value $5.50

Restricted · 15.98% · 5 items

MAG-7 | Monster Call
MAG-7 | Monster Call3.196% · avg value $0.83
MAC-10 | Allure
MAC-10 | Allure3.196% · avg value $0.74
Tec-9 | Brother
Tec-9 | Brother3.196% · avg value $0.74
Galil AR | Connexion
Galil AR | Connexion3.196% · avg value $0.71
MP5-SD | Kitbash
MP5-SD | Kitbash3.196% · avg value $0.68

Mil-Spec · 79.92% · 7 items

P2000 | Gnarled
P2000 | Gnarled11.417% · avg value $0.25
PP-Bizon | Runic
PP-Bizon | Runic11.417% · avg value $0.24
P250 | Cassette
P250 | Cassette11.417% · avg value $0.22
P90 | Freight
P90 | Freight11.417% · avg value $0.21
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty11.417% · avg value $0.18
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001
SSG 08 | Mainframe 00111.417% · avg value $0.17
Negev | Ultralight
Negev | Ultralight11.417% · avg value $0.14

Fracture Case in CS2: price, odds and best drops

The Fracture Case costs $0.61 on the Steam Community Market. Add the $2.49 key and one opening costs $3.10. At the prices of 2026-10-03 an average opening is worth $1.17, which is $0.38 back for every $1 spent, and about 4.4% of openings are worth more than the case plus key. It ranks #39 of 43 cases by value back.

Odds are the published CS2 case odds: 79.92% Mil-Spec (7 skins), 15.98% Restricted (5), 3.20% Classified (3), 0.64% Covert (2) and 0.26% knife or gloves (1 in 385). The most valuable regular drops are Desert Eagle | Printstream ($51.97), AK-47 | Legion of Anubis ($43.57), XM1014 | Entombed ($5.80).

The rare pool has 52 knives and gloves. Averaged across all wears and weighted by the wear odds, the highest value is ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade at $626.16, the lowest is ★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh at $49.88. Every knife and glove with prices and floats is on the Fracture Case knives page. Compare it with the rest on best CS2 cases to open or all CS2 cases (the drop odds of every case are on CS2 case odds); five Covert drops of one case can go into a knife trade up.

Fracture Case FAQ

How much does the Fracture Case cost in CS2?

About $0.61 on the Steam Community Market on 2026-10-03, plus the $2.49 key, so $3.10 for one opening.

Is the Fracture Case worth opening?

On average an opening returns $0.38 for every $1 spent (expected value $1.17 against a cost of $3.10), rank #39 of 43 cases. About 4.4% of single openings are worth more than they cost. Use the simulator above to see how a run of openings plays out.

What is the best skin in the Fracture Case?

The most valuable regular drops are Desert Eagle | Printstream ($51.97), AK-47 | Legion of Anubis ($43.57), XM1014 | Entombed ($5.80). The most valuable knife or gloves is ★ Skeleton Knife | Fade at $626.16 on average across wears.

What are the odds of a knife from the Fracture Case?

Knives and gloves are 0.26%, or 1 in 385 openings. With 52 items in the rare pool each one is about 0.005% per opening.

How many skins are in the Fracture Case?

17 regular skins (7 Mil-Spec, 5 Restricted, 3 Classified, 2 Covert) plus 52 knives and gloves.

Can I open the Fracture Case for free?

Yes. The simulator above opens it with real odds and live Steam prices, no deposit and no real items.

How the simulator works

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