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Fever Case opening simulator

Unbox the Fever Case as many times as you like, free. At today's Steam prices one opening is worth $1.49 on average against $3.37 for the case plus key (−56%). The rare pool has 28 knives and gloves; the best regular drop is AWP | Printstream. Got a Covert? Five of them can go into a knife trade up.

+ $2.49 key · real CS2 odds

Cost per open (case + $2.49 key)$3.37
Expected value$1.49
Back per $1$0.44
Knife or gloves1 in 385
Profit chance, 1 case4.5%

Knife / Gloves · 0.26% · 28 items

Average value across wears, best first: ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler ($782.90), ★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade ($481.94), ★ Nomad Knife | Doppler ($480.75), ★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth ($384.20), ★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade ($286.09), ★ Skeleton Knife ($279.22), ★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel ($262.09), ★ Paracord Knife | Doppler ($253.33), ★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet ($240.62), ★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth ($224.34), ★ Survival Knife | Doppler ($223.37), ★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel ($174.08), ★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade ($162.90), ★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat ($158.79), ★ Nomad Knife ($158.47), ★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet ($153.90), ★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade ($149.79), ★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth ($131.48), ★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth ($127.18), ★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat ($107.65), ★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet ($86.37), ★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel ($78.16), ★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet ($77.16), ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel ($75.08), ★ Paracord Knife ($64.66), ★ Survival Knife ($62.02), ★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat ($50.19), ★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat ($49.89).

Covert · 0.64% · 2 items

AWP | Printstream
AWP | Printstream0.320% · avg value $70.72
FAMAS | Bad Trip
FAMAS | Bad Trip0.320% · avg value $59.28

Classified · 3.20% · 3 items

Glock-18 | Shinobu
Glock-18 | Shinobu1.067% · avg value $7.39
AK-47 | Searing Rage
AK-47 | Searing Rage1.067% · avg value $7.11
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory1.067% · avg value $6.55

Restricted · 15.98% · 5 items

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike3.196% · avg value $1.07
Nova | Rising Sun
Nova | Rising Sun3.196% · avg value $0.86
Galil AR | Control
Galil AR | Control3.196% · avg value $0.83
P90 | Wave Breaker
P90 | Wave Breaker3.196% · avg value $0.81
Zeus x27 | Tosai
Zeus x27 | Tosai3.196% · avg value $0.76

Mil-Spec · 79.92% · 7 items

SSG 08 | Memorial
SSG 08 | Memorial11.417% · avg value $0.32
M4A4 | Choppa
M4A4 | Choppa11.417% · avg value $0.32
USP-S | PC-GRN
USP-S | PC-GRN11.417% · avg value $0.28
P2000 | Sure Grip
P2000 | Sure Grip11.417% · avg value $0.23
MP9 | Nexus
MP9 | Nexus11.417% · avg value $0.20
MAG-7 | Resupply
MAG-7 | Resupply11.417% · avg value $0.18
XM1014 | Mockingbird
XM1014 | Mockingbird11.417% · avg value $0.14

Fever Case in CS2: price, odds and best drops

The Fever Case costs $0.88 on the Steam Community Market. Add the $2.49 key and one opening costs $3.37. At the prices of 2026-10-03 an average opening is worth $1.49, which is $0.44 back for every $1 spent, and about 4.5% of openings are worth more than the case plus key. It ranks #34 of 43 cases by value back.

Odds are the published CS2 case odds: 79.92% Mil-Spec (7 skins), 15.98% Restricted (5), 3.20% Classified (3), 0.64% Covert (2) and 0.26% knife or gloves (1 in 385). The most valuable regular drops are AWP | Printstream ($70.80), FAMAS | Bad Trip ($59.82), Glock-18 | Shinobu ($7.68).

The rare pool has 28 knives and gloves. Averaged across all wears and weighted by the wear odds, the highest value is ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler at $774.67, the lowest is ★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat at $49.79. Every knife and glove with prices and floats is on the Fever Case knives page. Compare it with the rest on best CS2 cases to open or all CS2 cases (the drop odds of every case are on CS2 case odds); five Covert drops of one case can go into a knife trade up.

Fever Case FAQ

How much does the Fever Case cost in CS2?

About $0.88 on the Steam Community Market on 2026-10-03, plus the $2.49 key, so $3.37 for one opening.

Is the Fever Case worth opening?

On average an opening returns $0.44 for every $1 spent (expected value $1.49 against a cost of $3.37), rank #34 of 43 cases. About 4.5% of single openings are worth more than they cost. Use the simulator above to see how a run of openings plays out.

What is the best skin in the Fever Case?

The most valuable regular drops are AWP | Printstream ($70.80), FAMAS | Bad Trip ($59.82), Glock-18 | Shinobu ($7.68). The most valuable knife or gloves is ★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler at $774.67 on average across wears.

What are the odds of a knife from the Fever Case?

Knives and gloves are 0.26%, or 1 in 385 openings. With 28 items in the rare pool each one is about 0.009% per opening.

How many skins are in the Fever Case?

17 regular skins (7 Mil-Spec, 5 Restricted, 3 Classified, 2 Covert) plus 28 knives and gloves.

Can I open the Fever Case for free?

Yes. The simulator above opens it with real odds and live Steam prices, no deposit and no real items.

How the simulator works

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