Price move · October 8, 2026
MP7 | Guerrilla prices drop – October 8, 2026
StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla in Minimal Wear and Factory New both fell over the last 24 hours. Here is what moved and how to read it.
Two StatTrak™ listings of MP7 | Guerrilla fell together over the last 24 hours: StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) and StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New). They are 2 of the 3 liquid listings in this group.
What moved
Both listings are StatTrak™ versions of the same skin, and both went down in the same 24-hour window. The third liquid listing in the group is not among the movers.
- StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear)
- StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New)
The table below shows the current price, the change and the listing count for each one. The full list of wears is on MP7 | Guerrilla: all wears and prices.
What the move tells you
These prices use our market price, the median of the lowest listing on at least 3 of 7 marketplaces. Because of that, a fall here means most marketplaces moved, not a single seller or site. The method is explained on How our prices are made.
That says what happened. It does not say why, and we do not guess.
How to read it
A few checks make a price move easier to judge:
- Listing counts. Look at how many listings sit behind each price in the table. A price backed by few listings can shift more easily than one backed by many.
- Marketplaces. Compare the same item across marketplaces instead of relying on one number.
- Other wears. Two of the three liquid listings moved. Check whether the remaining one stayed apart from them.
- Time. Sharp moves can reverse. The follow-up table one day later shows what happened next, so a single day is not a trend.
For a wider view, Trending CS2 skins lists 24h, 7d and 30d moves side by side.
What it means for trade ups
MP7 | Guerrilla is a weapon skin, so its price matters if you use it as a trade up input. Input prices set the cost of a contract, so a lower price on a listing you plan to use changes what that contract costs you.
Check the current prices in the table, then run your numbers in the trade up calculator instead of working from yesterday's figures.
The move in numbers
2 of 3 liquid listings in this group moved together over the 24 hours before October 8, 2026. Both prices are our market price: the median of the lowest listing on at least 3 of 8 marketplaces, so one marketplace alone cannot move it. Listings = total listings on the marketplaces that report a count. How our prices are made.
| Item | 24h ago | At publishing | Change | Listings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) | $5.16 | $3.85 | -25.4% | 38 |
| StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) | $12.86 | $9.92 | -22.9% | 24 |
What happened next is added below one day after publishing.
What happened to prices 24 hours later
Lowest marketplace price of the items above when the post went up (October 8, 2026) and one day later (October 9, 2026).
| Skin | At publishing | 24 h later | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) | $2.83 | $3.05 | +7.8% |
| StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) | $9.92 | $9.95 | +0.3% |
FAQ
Which MP7 | Guerrilla listings fell in the last 24 hours?
StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear) and StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New). Together they are 2 of the 3 liquid listings in the group.
Did only one marketplace move?
No. Our market price is the median of the lowest listing on at least 3 of 7 marketplaces, so a move in it means most marketplaces moved, not one.
Why did MP7 | Guerrilla prices fall?
We do not know and do not guess. The data shows that the prices fell together, not the cause.
Will the prices keep falling?
We make no forecast. Sharp moves can reverse, and a follow-up table one day later shows what happened next.
Based on CS2TradeUp.gg market data (the median of the lowest listing on at least 3 of 8 marketplaces); published October 8, 2026. It reports what moved, not why. Prices move all the time: check the live listings before you buy or sell.