XM1014 | Black Tie: trade up odds, float & price

Restricted Heavy skin from the Chroma 3 Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.75, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Chroma 3 Collection with a 20% chance per contract.

XM1014 | Black Tie price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$3.64	$14.73
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$1.89	$4.90
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$1.38	$1.72
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$1.35	$1.43
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 0.750	$1.26	$1.42

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest XM1014 | Black Tie is Field-Tested at $1.04 on CS.MONEY. Factory New costs $2.56, 2.5× as much. StatTrak™ costs 1.2–4.1× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $1.38, 33% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the XM1014 | Black Tie

Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Chroma 3 Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 5 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Black Tie has a 20% chance (the other outcomes are CZ75-Auto | Red Astor, Galil AR | Firefight, SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader, Tec-9 | Re-Entry). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Mil-Spec): Dual Berettas | Ventilators, G3SG1 | Orange Crash, P2000 | Oceanic, M249 | Spectre, MP9 | Bioleak, Sawed-Off | Fubar, SG 553 | Atlas.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0933.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.2000.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.75 – see the float guide.

Cheapest XM1014 | Black Tie trade ups right now

10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Chroma 3 Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 20% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× SG 553 \| Atlas StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted	$2.60	$2.40	-7.7%	40.0%	Open in calculator
10× M249 \| Spectre StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted	$9.20	$7.64	-17.0%	20.0%	Open in calculator
10× SG 553 \| Atlas StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted	$2.60	$1.68	-35.4%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MP9 \| Bioleak FN Mil-Spec → Restricted	$7.00	$4.00	-42.8%	20.0%	Open in calculator
10× M249 \| Spectre StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$4.70	$2.40	-48.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MP9 \| Bioleak StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$3.40	$1.68	-50.6%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× M249 \| Spectre MW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$3.90	$1.71	-56.1%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MP9 \| Bioleak WW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$4.00	$1.52	-62.0%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the XM1014 | Black Tie
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)