UMP-45 | Fade: trade up odds, float & price

Classified SMGs skin from the 2021 Dust 2 Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.08, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Restricted skins of the 2021 Dust 2 Collection with a 50% chance per contract.

UMP-45 | Fade price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™	Souvenir
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$218.51	—	$178.20
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.080	$204.76	—	$152.30

Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest UMP-45 | Fade is Factory New at $157.76 on CS.MONEY. Minimal Wear costs $208.93, 1.3× as much. On the Steam Market the Factory New sells for $218.51, 39% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

Fade percentage: UMP-45 | Fade fade % for every seed (0–1000) →

How to trade up into the UMP-45 | Fade

Put 10 Restricted skins from the 2021 Dust 2 Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 2 Classified skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Fade has a 50% chance (the other outcome is SSG 08 | Death Strike). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Restricted): M4A4 | Red DDPAT, MAC-10 | Case Hardened, USP-S | Orange Anolis.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.8750.
Minimal Wear result: always.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.08 – see the float guide.

Cheapest UMP-45 | Fade trade ups right now

10 identical Restricted inputs from the 2021 Dust 2 Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 50% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× M4A4 \| Red DDPAT FT Restricted → Classified	$280.40	$226.57	-19.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× M4A4 \| Red DDPAT WW Restricted → Classified	$275.10	$218.84	-20.5%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAC-10 \| Case Hardened BS Restricted → Classified	$278.60	$218.84	-21.5%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× USP-S \| Orange Anolis MW Restricted → Classified	$311.90	$213.95	-31.4%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAC-10 \| Case Hardened FN Restricted → Classified	$604.60	$341.28	-43.6%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the UMP-45 | Fade
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)