Nova | Rising Sun: trade up odds, float & price
Restricted Heavy skin from the Fever Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Fever Collection with a 20% chance per contract.
Nova | Rising Sun price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | $3.48 | $7.25 |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.150 | $1.08 | $1.79 |
| Field-Tested (FT) | 0.150 – 0.380 | $0.53 | $0.82 |
| Well-Worn (WW) | 0.380 – 0.450 | $0.47 | $0.70 |
| Battle-Scarred (BS) | 0.450 – 1.000 | $0.47 | $0.72 |
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest Nova | Rising Sun is Well-Worn at $0.35 on Tradeit.gg. Factory New costs $2.53, 7.2× as much. StatTrak™ costs 1.5–2× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $0.53, 29% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the Nova | Rising Sun
Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Fever Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 5 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Rising Sun has a 20% chance (the other outcomes are Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike, Galil AR | Control, P90 | Wave Breaker, Zeus x27 | Tosai). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Mil-Spec): P2000 | Sure Grip, M4A4 | Choppa, MAG-7 | Resupply, MP9 | Nexus, SSG 08 | Memorial, USP-S | PC-GRN, XM1014 | Mockingbird.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
- Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.
Cheapest Nova | Rising Sun trade ups right now
10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Fever Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 20% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× P2000 | Sure Grip StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $2.40 | $2.36 | -1.5% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× P2000 | Sure Grip StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.00 | $0.80 | -19.6% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× XM1014 | Mockingbird StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.00 | $0.78 | -22.2% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× P2000 | Sure Grip MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.80 | $1.30 | -27.9% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× P2000 | Sure Grip StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.20 | $0.86 | -28.3% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× XM1014 | Mockingbird WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $0.90 | $0.57 | -36.4% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× XM1014 | Mockingbird BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $0.90 | $0.56 | -37.3% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MAG-7 | Resupply StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $9.40 | $5.62 | -40.2% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the Nova | Rising Sun trades up into
10 Restricted skins from the Fever Collection give one of 3 Classified skins, each with a 33.3% chance:
More Fever Collection skins
