MP9 | Hypnotic: trade up odds, float & price
Restricted SMGs skin from the Arms Deal 2 Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.08, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Arms Deal 2 Collection with a 25% chance per contract.
MP9 | Hypnotic price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | $13.61 | $31.46 |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.080 | $19.34 | $37.22 |
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest MP9 | Hypnotic is Factory New at $11.35 on CS.MONEY. Minimal Wear costs $17.04, 1.5× as much. StatTrak™ costs about 2.5× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Factory New sells for $13.61, 20% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the MP9 | Hypnotic
Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Arms Deal 2 Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 4 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Hypnotic has a 25% chance (the other outcomes are Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin, Five-SeveN | Case Hardened, Nova | Graphite). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Mil-Spec): FAMAS | Hexane, M4A1-S | Blood Tiger, P250 | Hive, SCAR-20 | Crimson Web, Tec-9 | Blue Titanium.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.8750.
- Minimal Wear result: always.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.08 – see the float guide.
Cheapest MP9 | Hypnotic trade ups right now
10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Arms Deal 2 Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 25% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× SCAR-20 | Crimson Web StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $40.10 | $26.27 | -34.5% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× FAMAS | Hexane StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $48.50 | $30.40 | -37.3% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× SCAR-20 | Crimson Web StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $48.50 | $28.85 | -40.5% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× P250 | Hive StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $45.80 | $26.27 | -42.7% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× SCAR-20 | Crimson Web BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $27.00 | $14.25 | -47.2% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× P250 | Hive StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $69.20 | $35.15 | -49.2% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× SCAR-20 | Crimson Web WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $28.40 | $14.02 | -50.6% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× FAMAS | Hexane FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $29.80 | $14.64 | -50.9% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the MP9 | Hypnotic trades up into
10 Restricted skins from the Arms Deal 2 Collection give one of 2 Classified skins, each with a 50% chance:
More Arms Deal 2 Collection skins
All Arms Deal 2 Collection skins and odds → · All MP9 skins →