M4A4 | The Coalition: trade up odds, float & price

Covert Rifles skin from the 2021 Train Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Classified skins of the 2021 Train Collection with a 50% chance per contract.

M4A4 | The Coalition price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$769.85	—
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$385.49	—
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$287.38	—
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$148.35	—
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 1.000	$96.63	—

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A4 | The Coalition is Battle-Scarred at $84.61 on Waxpeer. Factory New costs $796.05, 9.4× as much. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $287.38, 31% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the M4A4 | The Coalition

Put 10 Classified skins from the 2021 Train Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 2 Covert skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the The Coalition has a 50% chance (the other outcome is Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Classified): FAMAS | Meltdown, MAC-10 | Propaganda, USP-S | Whiteout.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A4 | The Coalition trade ups right now

10 identical Classified inputs from the 2021 Train Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 50% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× FAMAS \| Meltdown MW Classified → Covert	$421.60	$267.72	-36.5%	50.0%	Open in calculator
10× FAMAS \| Meltdown FN Classified → Covert	$796.60	$367.58	-53.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAC-10 \| Propaganda BS Classified → Covert	$361.00	$118.83	-67.1%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× FAMAS \| Meltdown FT Classified → Covert	$371.00	$117.66	-68.3%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MAC-10 \| Propaganda WW Classified → Covert	$376.10	$117.66	-68.7%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A4 | The Coalition
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)

Trade up value

The M4A4 | The Coalition is a Covert skin from a non-case collection, so it cannot be used for the 5 Covert → knife trade up (only weapon case collections have a knife pool).