M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle: trade up odds, float & price

Covert Rifles skin from the Ancient Collection. Float range 0.00 – 1.00, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Classified skins of the Ancient Collection with a 100% chance per contract.

M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™	Souvenir
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$1,565	—	$1,844
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$914.54	—	$839.12
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$839.77	—	$850.00
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$578.00	—	$652.42
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 1.000	$461.02	—	$698.13

Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle is Battle-Scarred at $420.98 on CS.MONEY. Factory New costs $1,350, 3.2× as much. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $839.77, 22% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle

Put 10 Classified skins from the Ancient Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 1 Covert skin, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Welcome to the Jungle has a 100% chance – it is the only Covert skin in the collection, so the result is guaranteed. Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Classified): AK-47 | Panthera onca, P90 | Run and Hide.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.0700.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1500.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 1.00 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle trade ups right now

10 identical Classified inputs from the Ancient Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 100% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× P90 \| Run and Hide MW Classified → Covert	$1,348	$1,527	+13.3%	100.0%	Open in calculator
10× P90 \| Run and Hide FT Classified → Covert	$1,075	$859.64	-20.0%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× P90 \| Run and Hide WW Classified → Covert	$1,185	$614.05	-48.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× P90 \| Run and Hide FN Classified → Covert	$2,814	$1,451	-48.5%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× P90 \| Run and Hide BS Classified → Covert	$1,234	$580.57	-52.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)

Trade up value

The M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle is a Covert skin from a non-case collection, so it cannot be used for the 5 Covert → knife trade up (only weapon case collections have a knife pool).