M4A1-S | Glitched Paint: trade up odds, float & price

Restricted Rifles skin from the Radiant Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.67, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Radiant Collection with a 33.3% chance per contract.

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™	Souvenir
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$5.33	—	—
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$3.14	—	—
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$1.43	—	—
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$1.74	—	—
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 0.670	$1.32	—	—

Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A1-S | Glitched Paint is Battle-Scarred at $0.96 on Waxpeer. Factory New costs $4.33, 4.5× as much. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $1.43, 31% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Radiant Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 3 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Glitched Paint has a 33.3% chance (the other outcomes are Desert Eagle | Mulberry, USP-S | Bleeding Edge). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Mil-Spec): AWP | Arsenic Spill, Glock-18 | Coral Bloom, M4A1-S | Rose Hex, MP9 | Shredded, P250 | Red Tide, SSG 08 | Blush Pour.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1045.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.2239.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.67 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A1-S | Glitched Paint trade ups right now

10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Radiant Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 33.3% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× MP9 \| Shredded FN Mil-Spec → Restricted	$8.20	$9.99	+21.8%	33.3%	Open in calculator
10× MP9 \| Shredded FT Mil-Spec → Restricted	$1.90	$1.97	+3.9%	33.3%	Open in calculator
10× SSG 08 \| Blush Pour WW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$1.90	$1.58	-16.7%	33.3%	Open in calculator
10× M4A1-S \| Rose Hex MW Mil-Spec → Restricted	$4.20	$3.30	-21.4%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× MP9 \| Shredded BS Mil-Spec → Restricted	$1.80	$1.26	-30.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)