M4A1-S | Fade: trade up odds, float & price

Covert Rifles skin from the Sport & Field Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.08, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Classified skins of the Sport & Field Collection with a 100% chance per contract.

M4A1-S | Fade price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™	Souvenir
Factory New (FN)	0.000 – 0.070	$212.53	—	$367.86
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.080	$202.67	—	$514.00

Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.

Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A1-S | Fade is Factory New at $155.33 on Waxpeer. Minimal Wear costs $176.24, 1.1× as much. On the Steam Market the Factory New sells for $212.53, 37% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

Fade percentage: M4A1-S | Fade fade % for every seed (0–1000) →

How to trade up into the M4A1-S | Fade

Put 10 Classified skins from the Sport & Field Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 1 Covert skin, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Fade has a 100% chance – it is the only Covert skin in the collection, so the result is guaranteed. Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Classified): Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon, Glock-18 | AXIA.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.8750.
Minimal Wear result: always.
Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.08 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A1-S | Fade trade ups right now

10 identical Classified inputs from the Sport & Field Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 100% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× Glock-18 \| AXIA FT Classified → Covert	$253.70	$231.13	-8.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon WW Classified → Covert	$259.30	$231.13	-10.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Glock-18 \| AXIA BS Classified → Covert	$265.70	$231.13	-13.0%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon MW Classified → Covert	$276.10	$231.13	-16.3%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon FN Classified → Covert	$384.90	$231.13	-40.0%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A1-S | Fade
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)

Trade up value

The M4A1-S | Fade is a Covert skin from a non-case collection, so it cannot be used for the 5 Covert → knife trade up (only weapon case collections have a knife pool).