M4A1-S | Bright Water: trade up odds, float & price
Restricted Rifles skin from the Bravo Collection. Float range 0.10 – 0.22, available in Minimal Wear, Field-Tested. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Bravo Collection with a 25% chance per contract.
M4A1-S | Bright Water price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ | Souvenir |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.100 – 0.150 | $43.71 | $63.79 | — |
| Field-Tested (FT) | 0.150 – 0.220 | $33.30 | $60.85 | — |
Souvenir = the Souvenir version of this skin, same price rule as the Price column. Souvenir prices depend on the stickers the item carries, so this is a floor, not the price of a particular item.
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M4A1-S | Bright Water is Field-Tested at $28.19 on Waxpeer. Minimal Wear costs $33.03, 1.2× as much. StatTrak™ costs about 1.7× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $33.30, 18% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the M4A1-S | Bright Water
Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Bravo Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 4 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Bright Water has a 25% chance (the other outcomes are M4A4 | Zirka, MAC-10 | Graven, USP-S | Overgrowth). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Mil-Spec): Dual Berettas | Black Limba, G3SG1 | Demeter, Galil AR | Shattered, Nova | Tempest, SG 553 | Wave Spray, UMP-45 | Bone Pile.
- Factory New result: impossible (the skin’s float starts at 0.10).
- Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.4167.
- Output float: 0.10 + average × 0.12 – see the float guide.
Cheapest M4A1-S | Bright Water trade ups right now
10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Bravo Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 25% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× G3SG1 | Demeter StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $46.43 | $73.37 | +58.0% | 50.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× UMP-45 | Bone Pile StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $47.70 | $50.82 | +6.5% | 50.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× SG 553 | Wave Spray StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $49.20 | $50.82 | +3.3% | 50.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× UMP-45 | Bone Pile StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $67.10 | $51.71 | -22.9% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× G3SG1 | Demeter FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $45.50 | $30.59 | -32.8% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× UMP-45 | Bone Pile StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $290.30 | $176.17 | -39.3% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Nova | Tempest MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $52.60 | $30.59 | -41.8% | 25.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Dual Berettas | Black Limba BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $45.70 | $25.50 | -44.2% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the M4A1-S | Bright Water trades up into
10 Restricted skins from the Bravo Collection give one of 3 Classified skins, each with a 33.3% chance:
More Bravo Collection skins
