M249 | Downtown: trade up odds, float & price
Restricted Heavy skin from the Recoil Collection. Float range 0.00 – 0.65, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Mil-Spec skins of the Recoil Collection with a 20% chance per contract.
M249 | Downtown price by wear
| Wear | Float | Price | StatTrak™ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New (FN) | 0.000 – 0.070 | $1.44 | $2.17 |
| Minimal Wear (MW) | 0.070 – 0.150 | $0.70 | $1.19 |
| Field-Tested (FT) | 0.150 – 0.380 | $0.40 | $0.60 |
| Well-Worn (WW) | 0.380 – 0.450 | $0.43 | $0.55 |
| Battle-Scarred (BS) | 0.450 – 0.650 | $0.45 | $0.57 |
Price check, 2026-11-11: the cheapest M249 | Downtown is Battle-Scarred at $0.31 on CS.MONEY. Factory New costs $1.07, 3.5× as much. StatTrak™ costs 1.5–1.8× the normal price. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $0.40, 25% above the cheapest marketplace listing.
How to trade up into the M249 | Downtown
Put 10 Mil-Spec skins from the Recoil Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 5 Restricted skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Downtown has a 20% chance (the other outcomes are Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora, P90 | Vent Rush, R8 Revolver | Crazy 8, SG 553 | Dragon Tech). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.
- Inputs (Mil-Spec): FAMAS | Meow 36, Galil AR | Destroyer, Glock-18 | Winterized, M4A4 | Poly Mag, MAC-10 | Monkeyflage, Negev | Drop Me, UMP-45 | Roadblock.
- Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1077.
- Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.2308.
- Output float: 0.00 + average × 0.65 – see the float guide.
Cheapest M249 | Downtown trade ups right now
10 identical Mil-Spec inputs from the Recoil Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 20% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.
| Contract | Cost | EV | ROI | Chance of profit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10× UMP-45 | Roadblock StatTrak™ WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.00 | $0.91 | -8.6% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× UMP-45 | Roadblock StatTrak™ FT Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.10 | $0.98 | -10.7% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× UMP-45 | Roadblock StatTrak™ MW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $2.00 | $1.70 | -15.1% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× MAC-10 | Monkeyflage StatTrak™ BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $1.00 | $0.69 | -31.4% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Galil AR | Destroyer StatTrak™ FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $7.00 | $4.72 | -32.6% | 40.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× Galil AR | Destroyer FN Mil-Spec → Restricted | $4.20 | $2.64 | -37.1% | 20.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× M4A4 | Poly Mag WW Mil-Spec → Restricted | $0.90 | $0.50 | -44.2% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
| 10× FAMAS | Meow 36 BS Mil-Spec → Restricted | $0.90 | $0.50 | -44.9% | 0.0% | Open in calculator |
Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)
What the M249 | Downtown trades up into
10 Restricted skins from the Recoil Collection give one of 3 Classified skins, each with a 33.3% chance:
More Recoil Collection skins
