M4A4 | Bullet Rain: trade up odds, float & price

Covert Rifles skin from the eSports 2014 Summer Collection (eSports 2014 Summer Case). Float range 0.02 – 0.46, available in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred. You can get it from a trade up of 10 Classified skins of the eSports 2014 Summer Collection with a 50% chance per contract.

M4A4 | Bullet Rain price by wear

Wear	Float	Price	StatTrak™
Factory New (FN)	0.020 – 0.070	$228.67	$299.99
Minimal Wear (MW)	0.070 – 0.150	$98.91	$109.72
Field-Tested (FT)	0.150 – 0.380	$90.33	$80.86
Well-Worn (WW)	0.380 – 0.450	$64.00	$84.72
Battle-Scarred (BS)	0.450 – 0.460	—	—

Price check, 2026-11-08: of the wears in our main price feeds, the cheapest M4A4 | Bullet Rain is Well-Worn at $68.54 on CS.MONEY. Factory New costs $198.57, 2.9× as much. StatTrak™ costs from 0.9× to 1.9× the normal price, depending on the wear. On the Steam Market the Field-Tested sells for $90.33, 26% above the cheapest marketplace listing.

How to trade up into the M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Put 10 Classified skins from the eSports 2014 Summer Collection into a trade up contract. The collection has 2 Covert skins, so with all 10 inputs from this collection the Bullet Rain has a 50% chance (the other outcome is AK-47 | Jaguar). Mixing in another collection lowers the chance in proportion to the inputs you replace.

Inputs (Classified): AUG | Bengal Tiger, AWP | Corticera, P2000 | Corticera, Nova | Bloomstick.
Factory New result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.1136.
Minimal Wear result: average normalised input float ≤ 0.2955.
Output float: 0.02 + average × 0.44 – see the float guide.

Cheapest M4A4 | Bullet Rain trade ups right now

10 identical Classified inputs from the eSports 2014 Summer Collection at today’s prices. Every contract below has a 50% chance of this skin – open one to change floats, wear or fee.

Contract	Cost	EV	ROI	Chance of profit
10× AUG \| Bengal Tiger StatTrak™ FT Classified → Covert	$167.00	$160.66	-3.8%	50.0%	Open in calculator
10× AUG \| Bengal Tiger FT Classified → Covert	$110.60	$104.79	-5.3%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× AUG \| Bengal Tiger BS Classified → Covert	$110.00	$95.09	-13.6%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× AUG \| Bengal Tiger WW Classified → Covert	$120.60	$95.09	-21.2%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× AUG \| Bengal Tiger StatTrak™ BS Classified → Covert	$186.40	$112.08	-39.9%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× P2000 \| Corticera FN Classified → Covert	$726.40	$411.42	-43.4%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× P2000 \| Corticera StatTrak™ MW Classified → Covert	$311.00	$160.66	-48.3%	0.0%	Open in calculator
10× P2000 \| Corticera MW Classified → Covert	$228.10	$104.79	-54.1%	0.0%	Open in calculator

Steam Market prices, snapshot of 2026-09-27 (USD, before fees); the table refreshes with live prices on page load. Knives and gloves above Steam's $2,000 listing cap use the lowest marketplace price.

Build a contract for the M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Open in the calculator (auto-builds the cheapest contract)

What the M4A4 | Bullet Rain trades up into

As a Covert skin from a weapon case, 5 Bullet Rains (or any 5 Covert skins from the eSports 2014 Summer Collection) trade up into one of the 65 knives and gloves of the eSports 2014 Summer Case, each with a 1.54% chance. See the full eSports 2014 Summer Case knife pool or open the knife trade up calculator.

M4A4 | Bullet Rain FAQ

Can you trade up the M4A4 | Bullet Rain into a knife?

Yes. 5 Covert skins from the eSports 2014 Summer Collection return one of the 65 knives or gloves of the eSports 2014 Summer Case (1.54% each). StatTrak™ inputs return a StatTrak™ knife.